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  • βœ‡Doc Searls Weblog
  • Sat Enough Day
    Questions Are Company Contacts as useful as I hope they are?  HT: Recommendo, which I recommend. Is Conditional Consent compatible with MyTerms? This—_Instead of "accept all" or "reject all" per site, users define rules across three dimensions: cookie purpose, website category, and third-party processor. Allow analytics on shopping sites but deny tracking on news sites — your preferences, your logic._—suggests the answer is yes. Or at least maybe. When your intentions are
     

Sat Enough Day

7 March 2026 at 21:26

Questions

Are Company Contacts as useful as I hope they are?  HT: Recommendo, which I recommend.

Is Conditional Consent compatible with MyTerms? This—_Instead of "accept all" or "reject all" per site, users define rules across three dimensions: cookie purpose, website category, and third-party processor. Allow analytics on shopping sites but deny tracking on news sites — your preferences, your logic._—suggests the answer is yes. Or at least maybe.

When your intentions are inferred by surveillance and AI guesswork, are they really your intentions? This is the question raised for me by MasterCard, with this:  When AI starts buying for you, trust becomes the product—Mastercard introduces Verifiable Intent – a new, standards-based trust paradigm for agentic commerce, co-developed with Google. My answer is, No, it's not.

Is Sam Altman going to sink OpenAI/ChatGPT? Links:

Casey NewtonWhat is OpenAI going to do when the truth comes out? Sam Altman’s deal with the Pentagon seems too good to be true. What happens when the public realizes that?

Gary MarcusBREAKING: Sam Altman’s greed and dishonesty are finally catching up to him

Keith Teare: Missing in Action: Real Leadership

Why not to "verify" your Linkedin identity

RogiI Verified My LinkedIn Identity. Here's What I Actually Handed Over.

  • βœ‡On my Om
  • What To Read This Weekend
    It was Apple week and unsurprisingly even I got carried away and wrote a lot about Apple’s launch week. While the big high-end items were new MacBook Pros, the real story to me was the Fusion Architecture. But I am a chip-kinda guy. Sadly, Apple doesn’t give you the deep details, so one is left to postulate some well-reasoned ideas. So that is what I did. Back in 2008, Steve Jobs said, “We don’t know how to make a $500 computer that’s not a piece of junk, and ou
     

What To Read This Weekend

8 March 2026 at 12:00

It was Apple week and unsurprisingly even I got carried away and wrote a lot about Apple’s launch week. While the big high-end items were new MacBook Pros, the real story to me was the Fusion Architecture. But I am a chip-kinda guy. Sadly, Apple doesn’t give you the deep details, so one is left to postulate some well-reasoned ideas. So that is what I did.

Back in 2008, Steve Jobs said, “We don’t know how to make a $500 computer that’s not a piece of junk, and our DNA will not let us ship that.” That was then. This is now. The company knows how to do this, and do this well.

The real strategic story of the week was Apple pushing value. Thanks in large part to its ability to make high-quality things at scale, I am sure it is also preparing itself for whatever economic doldrums are coming our way. It is also a good time to launch a full-frontal on Windows 11 and Chromebooks. On a more personal front, I am already in love with the new midnight blue Neo. I can’t wait to get my hands on it.


Here are seven articles worth your time this weekend.

  • 25 Years of iPod Brain. Molly Mary O’Brien bought a fourth-generation iPod at 14 with cash earned pressing potatoes through a french fry cutter in Vermont. What follows is a love letter to the device that taught a generation how to build a relationship with music. I miss my iPod. She is right, the iPod’s gift was its constraint. That early tension between abundance and curation is something we crave so badly in the age of algorithmic gods. [Dirt]
  • How AI Will Reshape Public Opinion. Dan Williams makes a provocative argument. Social media was a democratizing technology that shifted power from experts to the masses. LLMs are the opposite. Agreed, for you might have heard me say this. [Conspicuous Cognition]
  • The Secretive Company Filling Video Game Sites with Gambling and AI. An eight-month investigation by Aftermath into Clickout Media, a shadowy affiliate marketing company that has been buying beloved gaming sites like GamesHub, The Escapist, and Videogamer, then stuffing them with crypto casino links and AI-generated content under fake author profiles. Internet doesn’t need AI slop, when we already have humans ruining it for greed. [Aftermath]
  • He Saw an Abandoned Trailer. Then He Uncovered a Surveillance Network on California’s Border. James Cordero, a water-damage restoration worker started noticing abandoned trailers along remote border roads. Inside were hidden cameras, license plate readers feeding data into federal databases and logging every car that passes. Meet another edition of our surveillance society. [The Markup]
  • We See Everything. A joint investigation by Svenska Dagbladet and Göteborgs-Posten found that data annotators in Kenya, working for Meta subcontractor Sama, routinely review intimate footage captured by Ray-Ban Meta glasses. As a line from Casablanca goes, “I am shocked, shocked that there is gambling going on here.” [Svenska Dagbladet]
  • Anthropic and the Pentagon. Bruce Schneier cuts through the noise on the Anthropic-Pentagon standoff with the clarity nobody else brought to it. This is not really about one company being more moral than another. The real lesson is about the need for democratic structures and legal restrictions on military AI, not corporate heroism. [Schneier on Security]
  • $599. Not Junk. I love John Gruber’s take on new Macs. So, I was keen to read what he had to say about the MacBook Neo. He thinks Apple is going to sell a zillion of these. [Daring Fireball]

Reality Check. Everyone talks about the AI infrastructure buildout like it’s a done deal. It’s not. Sightline Climate is tracking 190GW across 777 large data centers announced since 2024. Of the 16GW slated to come online this year, only 5GW is actually under construction. Last year, 26% of expected capacity slipped. Their estimate: 30–50% of the 2026 pipeline won’t materialize. Meanwhile, hyperscalers are quietly giving up on the grid entirely, building their own power sources. The bottleneck isn’t chips. It’s watts. [Sightline Climate]


Things I wrote this week, ICYMI:

On Apple:

On AI:

And lastly, OpenAI did the announcement economy a solid:

In Memoriam. Dave Farber, true Internet router. He was one of the most important people in the creation of the Internet, and he taught the people who did most of the work turning what he once called “a research project” into the backbone of modern communication. They don’t make people like Dave Farber anymore. [High Tech Forum]


March 8, 2026. San Francisco.

  • βœ‡CJ Chilvers: Blog
  • The $200 plastic box opportunity
    If you ever needed an example of the increasing importance of personal brands in the AI era, I’ve got a whopper. Over the past few months, I’ve noticed something that construction professionals and jewelry makers on Etsy have in common: they’re always looking out for better ways to sort and store their small parts. This seems to be a universal struggle for anyone who makes or repairs things — whether it’s their job or hobby.You would think this is a solved pro
     

The $200 plastic box opportunity

8 March 2026 at 14:50

If you ever needed an example of the increasing importance of personal brands in the AI era, I’ve got a whopper. 

Over the past few months, I’ve noticed something that construction professionals and jewelry makers on Etsy have in common: they’re always looking out for better ways to sort and store their small parts. This seems to be a universal struggle for anyone who makes or repairs things — whether it’s their job or hobby.

You would think this is a solved problem by now. It’s just a plastic box with plastic boxes inside of it. You can go into a big box store and find small parts organizers for as low as $5 on sale. 

If you want one that’s made from materials that won’t eat away at your parts over time, you may pay around $20. 

If you want one that will survive years of working under harsh conditions at outdoor job sites, you’ll pay $50 to $70.

But if you want the Adam Savage signature model box, it’ll cost you $120 plus shipping — if it’s in stock.

Often, it’s out of stock and eBay sellers list it for around $200. It sells out fast at both prices. This is why you are limited to 10 boxes when ordering at Adam’s website. He’s trying to discourage resellers.

Adam has spent decades cultivating an audience. These days he makes YouTube videos in his personal workshop, where he makes stuff — anything he feels like at the moment. His videos are not flashy. He speaks openly and honestly about life, career, hobbies, failures, successes, and parenting.

This has built so much trust with his audience over the years, that he can command up to $200 for a plastic box.

This is extraordinary when you consider the needs of 90% of his audience could likely be met by a $5-$20 box from a big corporate brand, without limitations on order size and without added shipping charges.

This is why personal brands are not only a real thing, they are the realest thing right now.

People pay for a narrative. People pay based on trust and relationships. 

The biggest companies on Earth are trying desperately to automate this kind of trust into existence right now, under faceless brands. How do you think that’s going to turn out?

  • βœ‡On my Om
  • The Debt Beneath the Dream
    Every gambler knows that the secret to survivin’ Is knowin’ what to throw away and knowing what to keep ‘Cause every hand’s a winner and every hand’s a loser And the best that you can hope for is to die in your sleepKenny Rogers, The Gambler. I don’t know Masayoshi Son, and I don’t need to. But my guess is that the SoftBank founder and CEO can’t be having a good start to his week. The stock of his flagship, SoftBank, is deflating faster than
     

The Debt Beneath the Dream

10 March 2026 at 03:31

Every gambler knows that the secret to survivin’
Is knowin’ what to throw away and knowing what to keep
‘Cause every hand’s a winner and every hand’s a loser
And the best that you can hope for is to die in your sleep

Kenny Rogers, The Gambler.

I don’t know Masayoshi Son, and I don’t need to. But my guess is that the SoftBank founder and CEO can’t be having a good start to his week. The stock of his flagship, SoftBank, is deflating faster than a balloon stuck in powerlines after a New Year’s party. He has bet big on OpenAI as his all-in wager. Whether he is right or wrong remains to be seen.

SoftBank’s shares dropped as much as 12.5 percent. Reports emerged that OpenAI and Oracle had scrapped plans to expand a flagship data center in Texas. Bloomberg reported the expansion fell apart over a combination of financing difficulties and shifting demand. The news undermines two core assumptions behind the entire Stargate Project. That alone should be reason to dig into every data center announcement and follow the money trail.

SoftBank’s credit default swaps widened. In plain English, the bond market is now charging more to insure against the possibility that SoftBank cannot pay its debts. The people who lend SoftBank money are getting nervous. Not a big surprise.

S&P, the credit rating agency, which already had SoftBank at junk, cut its outlook to negative earlier this month. A downgrade could raise borrowing costs precisely when SoftBank needs to borrow more than ever. These are legitimate problems. It also makes you wonder how SoftBank will meet its commitments to OpenAI in April 2026. I wrote about this last week, but even I didn’t know how much was up in the air.

I often refer back to my essay, The Announcement Economy, mostly because that is what we are living in. The details get lost in the bombast of headlines, and the media herd moves on to the next thing. Meme is the news, if news itself isn’t the news.

Let’s turn back the clock to January 2025. Stargate was announced with pomp and show that could rival Mardi Gras. President at the podium, Son and OpenAI’s Sam Altman flanking him. Big words, bigger promises. The beautiful future. Elon Musk, seemingly a sore loser for not being invited to the party, didn’t like it a bit. He said SoftBank “has well under $10 billion secured.” Altman fired back, called him wrong, and invited him to the Texas site. That Texas site is now the one being abandoned. Musk had obvious self-interest in undermining the project. He was also, turns out, right.

This is a good time to ponder the overall data center announcement frenzy. There is a level of insanity in all the news that keeps coming, and it deserves its own moment of skepticism.


I just read this New York Times piece about Nscale, a UK-based data center startup founded in 2024 that just raised $2 billion at a $14.6 billion valuation, with Nvidia backing and Sheryl Sandberg, Nick Clegg, and Susan Decker joining the board. The company barely existed two years ago. Its founder previously sold health supplements and worked in coal mining. Now he’s building “the engine of superintelligence.” Haven’t we seen this movie before? Different cast, similar theme with a charming, charismatic fundraiser and a board with more white shoes than an NBA star. Read the story and decide for yourself.

The irony of the name should not be lost on anyone. In model railroading, N-scale means 160 times smaller than the real thing. The real thing being a hyperscaler like Google, whose CEO told investors the company plans to spend up to $185 billion on infrastructure in 2026.

The data center buildout echoes the late 1990s fiber frenzy. Companies strung cable across continents for bandwidth nobody needed, on the assumption that demand would only go up and that the underlying technology would not change fast enough to matter. Both assumptions proved wrong. The chips will get faster. The models will learn to do more with less. The Excel chart pointing up and to the right rarely survives contact with Moore’s Law.

These are physical products, as much as they might seem like digital ones. You can’t put up walls faster than a query on ChatGPT. Neither can you get energy sources revved up on demand. Physics is physics, and atoms are atoms. It just doesn’t make for a good announcement.

Nscale is a UK company. Like everyone else, the UK is feeling left out of the AI buildout frenzy. Just like they did in the fiber buildout days. Don’t be surprised if you see more such announcements about upstarts raising billions from other parts of the world. No one wants to be left out of the announcement party.

The scale of the announcements is staggering. US data center construction starts hit $77.7 billion in 2025, a 190 percent increase over the prior year. The four largest hyperscalers are on track to spend north of $500 billion on infrastructure in 2026 alone. But announcements and reality are two different things.

The numbers bear this out. I recently pointed to a report by Sightline Climate that is tracking 190 gigawatts across 777 large data centers announced since 2024. As I noted in a recent post, of the 16 gigawatts slated to come online this year, only 5 gigawatts is actually under construction. Last year, 26 percent of expected capacity slipped. Sightline’s estimate is that 30 to 50 percent of the 2026 pipeline won’t materialize. Look, if hyperscalers are building their own data centers, we know they can. They have the money. They have customers. They have the domain expertise. They can even spin up their own power sources. Others feel more like Milli Vanilli. They sound good. But is it for real?

I am an AI believer. But boy, the green gas coming out of the announcement engine makes me blanch.

If you see skepticism in my recent writing about physical infrastructure, it’s because sometimes you have to follow the dollars. In my earlier pieces on the $110 billion funding round and the announcement economy, I laid out how the headline numbers didn’t really add up. The structure hasn’t changed. SoftBank is seeking a new $40 billion loan, the largest dollar-denominated borrowing in its history, to meet its OpenAI obligations. Son is doubling down.

To fund the earlier rounds, Son sold SoftBank’s entire Nvidia stake for $3.3 billion. Those shares would be worth well over $150 billion today. He traded one of the great unrealized gains in modern investing history for a 13 percent stake in a company that remains unprofitable, whose flagship data center partner just backed out citing weak demand, and which S&P now considers a liability on SoftBank’s own balance sheet.(1)

Son may still be right. Yahoo Japan, Alibaba, ARM. He has been early and right before. He has also been early and spectacularly wrong — see WeWork. But the structure underneath, borrowed money, illiquid assets, a portfolio more than half locked up, means the margin for error is far thinner than any announcement headline ever suggested.

It isn’t money until it’s money. And it isn’t infrastructure until someone actually needs it. Uses it. And pays for it. As Kenny Rogers put it:

You got to know when to hold ’em, know when to fold ’em
Know when to walk away and know when to run
You never count your money when you’re sittin’ at the table
There’ll be time enough for countin’ when the dealing’s done

Footnote #1 (added on 3/10/26): I can see how my awkward sentence gives an impression that Son’s Nvidia sale funding OpenAI. The point I was making was that he has hyperactive style of a a gambler, and this is how he has ended up with OpenAI, and not with $150 billion if he knew how to hold them. Clearly my sentence structure could have been better.


Why I wrote this piece


March 9, 2026

  • βœ‡Doc Searls Weblog
  • This Tuesday
    Verily What's happening today is today. All day. Also, it's absurd that Indiana is mostly in the Eastern time zone. This time of year, the sun rises at four hours before noon and sets eight hours after noon.  And fast moving storms from southwest to northeast tend to produce tornadoes. There's a long arc of thunderweather moving lengthwise to the northeast from Texas and across Chicago right now. ORD is all delays. Good view of the action on Windy. Good view of the delays on FlightAware's
     

This Tuesday

10 March 2026 at 12:52

Verily

What's happening today is today. All day.

Also, it's absurd that Indiana is mostly in the Eastern time zone. This time of year, the sun rises at four hours before noon and sets eight hours after noon. 

And fast moving storms from southwest to northeast tend to produce tornadoes.

There's a long arc of thunderweather moving lengthwise to the northeast from Texas and across Chicago right now. ORD is all delays. Good view of the action on Windy. Good view of the delays on FlightAware's MiseryMap.

Apparently, yes

Ted GioiaIs Spotify Enabling Massive Impersonation of Famous Jazz Musicians?

Also, AI Actress Tilly Norwood Drops a Video—and It's Cringe on Steroids "At least Skynet was honest about trying to erase humanity…"

Bzzz

Marginal Revolution: A Fly Has Been Uploaded. It begins, "n 2024, the entire neuronal diagram of the fruit-fly brain–some 140,000 neurons and 50 million connections–was mapped. Later research showed that the map could be used to predict behavior. Now, Eon Systems a firm with some of the scientists involved in the fruit-fly research and with the goal of uploading a human brain has announced that they uploaded the fruit fly brain to a digital environment. The digital fly appears to behave in the digital environment in reasonably fly like ways–this is not a simulation, the fly’s “sensors” are being activated by the digital environment and the neurons are responding.

  • βœ‡On my Om
  • The Essence of a Machine
    I didn’t really want to do a quick breezy review of something that has touched me at a deep emotional level. (John Gruber nails it in his review of Neo.) Yes, I am talking about the new MacBook Neo. I can’t remember when I used the words “cute” and “want” about a computer in the same breath. The iBook, maybe? That machine was a little cuddly, colorful, weird thing that made you feel something. Then Apple went serious. Silver. Graphite. Pro. Aspirational. E
     

The Essence of a Machine

10 March 2026 at 22:00

I didn’t really want to do a quick breezy review of something that has touched me at a deep emotional level. (John Gruber nails it in his review of Neo.)

Yes, I am talking about the new MacBook Neo. I can’t remember when I used the words “cute” and “want” about a computer in the same breath. The iBook, maybe? That machine was a little cuddly, colorful, weird thing that made you feel something. Then Apple went serious. Silver. Graphite. Pro. Aspirational. Expensive. And along the way we all forgot that computers could make you smile just by looking at them. Just as none of the cars make you smile and giggle. They are a boring interpretation of a truck or a Tesla.

Then came the Neo. $599. The fun is back. Citrus yellow. Indigo blue. Blush pink. Colors that say, be happy. It’s okay to be silly.

I have had a review unit for four days. Used it. Held it. Caressed it. It looks like a MacBook. It works like a MacBook. It feels like a MacBook.

Everything about it is a MacBook. Except it isn’t.

Four days in, the question stopped being “is this enough?” It became something simpler. What is this, exactly? What is a machine, really? What does it need to be?

First, it’s the name. It is stuck in the crevices of my mind. Neo comes from the Greek neos. It does not simply mean new. Neo means renewed. It means the return to the generating principle after drift.

As it happens, I have been spending time in philosophical texts, ancient and modern. One concept I came across in my reading adventures was Neo-Platonism. Developed by Plotinus in the third century, it was not merely a new version of Plato. It was a return to first principles, a deliberate stripping away of accumulation to recover what was essential. The Neo-Platonists believed all of reality emanates from a single perfect source, The One, and that understanding flows from returning to that source rather than moving further from it.

In language, neo- signals deliberate revival. Neo-classical, neo-noir, neo-pragmatism. Each usage implies that someone looked at how far a tradition had drifted from its originating idea, identified what that idea actually was, and rebuilt from there. It is an act of editorial courage disguised as naming. When Apple called this machine the Neo, consciously or not, the argument is right there in the name.

Neo does not mean more. It means the return to what is essential.

Apple, at least when Steve Jobs roamed its corridors, knew what was essential. It has since lost some of that clarity. It has lost some of what Aristotle calls telos.

Telos is the purpose toward which a thing is directed, the end that defines what it fundamentally is. Not what it can do in a benchmark, not what features it has, but what it is for. The telos of a hammer is to drive nails. The telos of a chair is to support a seated person. Strip away the ornament, the extras, the margin-justifying additions, and you get to the thing itself.

The history of Apple’s greatest products is a history of correctly identifying the telos and ruthlessly removing everything that is not it.

The original iPod. Music in your pocket. Not a camera, not a phone, not an app platform. A thousand songs, a white brick of plastic and steel and joy. When Jobs pulled it out, nobody asked whether it was enough. The question answered itself.

The original MacBook Air. Portable computing, untethered. No optical drive, few ports, impossibly thin. Jobs pulled it out of an envelope and the argument was over. The Air was not a lesser computer. It was the laptop reduced to its essence. Jony Ive once said the best designs are the ones where you cannot imagine adding anything and cannot imagine removing anything. The Air was that.

The MacBook Neo is in that tradition. It runs on the A18 Pro, the same chip family that powers the iPhone. That detail sounds like a compromise until you think about it properly. The iPhone is the most refined personal computing device ever made. Its chip is optimized over a decade for exactly the kind of work most humans actually do. Writing, communicating, reading, browsing, thinking. Early benchmarks show the Neo outperforming the MacBook Air M1 in single-core performance. That is not a consolation prize. That is the telos.

If we had more of a philosophical tradition in Silicon Valley, we would be aware of what Heidegger called the danger of Gestell, his concept for how technology frames everything and everyone as a resource to be optimized, extracted, maximized. These days that means pushing AI into our laptops and ads into every corner of our internet experience.

Customers and reviewers alike look at a laptop and ask all sorts of wrong questions. How much RAM? What GPU? Can it run Final Cut in real time? Nobody stops to ask what they actually need it for.

The spec sheet becomes the thing. The benchmark becomes the measure. The webpage becomes a place to extract every cent. Every human relationship on Instagram an opportunity to transact. And somewhere in all that maximization, the person using the machine disappears.

Ask yourself what you need a laptop for. I asked myself the question. To write. To read. To talk to people I love and people I work with. To think. For all that, the Neo is enough.

And that’s me, someone who already has a MacBook Pro. With the exception of my multilayered editing workflow in Photoshop, after four days, I find the Neo to be enough. The only reason I keep going back to my MacBook Pro is because of Claude CoWork. I wish I could run that on this new machine.

What if everyone asked that question and found the same answer? Why worry about more cores or something hard to contemplate? What’s easy to contemplate? Four colors with color-matched keyboards. Color is not cosmetic. Color is a statement about the relationship between a person and their tool. It says this belongs to you, not to your job title or your budget category. It says computing can be personal and colorful again. (By the way Gruber is talking about color in his review footnotes. “The Neo’s citrus is a beguiling colorway. Everyone I’ve shown it to likes it,” he write. “But is it a green-ish yellow, or a yellow-ish green? In daylight, it looks more like a green-ish yellow.” His comment is about to become a meme. )

In Zen Buddhism, there is the concept of ichi-go ichi-e, meaning this moment, this meeting, only once. A tea bowl needs to be only a tea bowl. A laptop does not need to be a phone, a gaming console, a media center. The completeness of the simple thing is what gives it meaning. You do not add to it.

The MacBook Neo is a laptop. A complete, beautiful, sufficient laptop. It costs $599, but the real disruption is not the price. It is the reminder that “enough” is not a failure of ambition. It is often the highest form of design.

The name says it all. Neo means a return to the generating principle. A machine rebuilt from what a machine needs to be, with full awareness of what came before. Not less. Not a budget compromise. A renewal.

Jobs understood this. The iPod. The Air. The original iPhone’s single button. The radical move was always the same. Identify the telos, trust it, and cut everything else. Sometimes the most courageous thing you can build is exactly what is needed, and nothing more.

I really hope Apple sells a lot of it. Not that I have anything to gain from it. Except the idea that in this era of soulless hyper-capitalism, for a brief second, we can smile and experience the essence of a machine.

March 10, 2026. San Francisco

My Recent Macbook Neo Related Articles

  • βœ‡512 Pixels
  • Mississippi Approves 41 Natural Gas Turbines for Southaven Site
    Yesterday, the Mississippi Department of Environmental Quality Permit Board (MDEQ) unanimously granted xAI a permit for an expanded power plant in Southaven, Mississippi. The plant will be powered by 41 natural gas turbines. Some of those turbines are already in place, with questions surrounding their legality now finalized. The way in which MDEQ went about this process has left many local — and national — critics of xAI unhappy, as Kailynn Johnson writes for The Memphis Flyer: T
     

Mississippi Approves 41 Natural Gas Turbines for Southaven Site

11 March 2026 at 14:21

Yesterday, the Mississippi Department of Environmental Quality Permit Board (MDEQ) unanimously granted xAI a permit for an expanded power plant in Southaven, Mississippi. The plant will be powered by 41 natural gas turbines.

Some of those turbines are already in place, with questions surrounding their legality now finalized.

The way in which MDEQ went about this process has left many local — and national — critics of xAI unhappy, as Kailynn Johnson writes for The Memphis Flyer:

The board’s decision to hold the meeting on Election Day, and five days after the hearing was announced, has been condemned by local and national groups.

The Mississippi State Conference of the NAACP and the national NAACP sent an open letter to MDEQ to immediately reschedule the public hearing for the following week, and requested a response by Monday.

The organization criticized MDEQ’s decision to issue their responses to public comments on Saturday, March 7, as well as for holding the hearing “nearly three driving hours from the site of the facility.”

Lora Kolodny, CNBC:

The MDEQ denied the request on Monday, writing in a response to the NAACP that its permit board “regularly meets on the second Tuesday of each month, which has been the standard practice for decades,” and that the regulator, “considers matters on a statewide basis.” A copy of the letter was shared with CNBC.

[…]
Following the MDEQ’s response on Monday, the NAACP said in a statement that by having the hearing the morning of Election Day, three hours away from the community, “their actions speak volumes.”

“They’re trying to sneak xAI’s data center into the community’s backyard and they don’t care about the people living there,” the letter said.

Despite the MDEQ’s insistence about the meeting itself, the results of that meeting are what really impact people living in south Memphis and north Mississippi.

Samuel Hardiman, The Daily Memphian:

The approval of xAI’s long-term plans for a power plant means a substantial amount of smog-causing chemicals could be added to the Memphis metropolitan area’s air.

According to the draft permit, xAI could emit 423 tons of nitrogen oxides, a smog-causing chemical, each year. That’s about the same as the two area Tennessee Valley Authority natural gas plants — Allen Combined Cycle and Southaven — combined.

  • βœ‡On my Om
  • The Return of Travis Kalanick: Fact & Fluff!
    Travis is back. It was only a matter of time. Given his old compadres Emil Michael and Shervin Pishevar are back in the news, how could he, the king pooh-ba, stay in the shadows? To a lot of us who have been in the know, Travis Kalanick has never really gone away. He has always been doing his thing, away from the limelight which ultimately became his undoing. For eight years, he was busy building Cloud Kitchens. I heard second-hand stories of progress and stories of challenges. That&rsquo
     

The Return of Travis Kalanick: Fact & Fluff!

14 March 2026 at 17:45

Travis is back. It was only a matter of time.

Given his old compadres Emil Michael and Shervin Pishevar are back in the news, how could he, the king pooh-ba, stay in the shadows?

To a lot of us who have been in the know, Travis Kalanick has never really gone away. He has always been doing his thing, away from the limelight which ultimately became his undoing. For eight years, he was busy building Cloud Kitchens. I heard second-hand stories of progress and stories of challenges. That’s life and that’s business. And that’s startup life.

Still, the return of Travis as a spectacle has been amazing to watch. It has been worthy of putting some popcorn, firing up the (MacBook) Neo, and sitting down and consuming it all. The return says as much about him as it does about the new hype machine, aka whatever passes for media right now.

As an entrepreneur, I love Kalanick, because he makes for a great story. He knows how to do bombast right. And he knows how to play the victim right. He has the right quotes. And he knows how to stumble over himself. In short, a media person has to love Kalanick.

So for most of the day yesterday, I watched him earn his symbolic capital. (If you missed that short essay, I would suggest you read it.) It was fun to watch him drop wisdom on a streaming video podcast. It was good to see him share his very clear, coherent and convincing vision of the physical world and how AI and robotics dovetail with that world. It stands in sharp contrast to the somewhat unclear vision of physical AI shared by academic-turned-Facebooker Yann LeCun, who recently raised over a billion dollars.

Given I have covered Travis for almost two decades, I can say he has aged, as his gray beard shows. For most of my media life, I was not the guy he gave interviews to, or scoops. For those he had more compliant reporters in media. Most of my scoops were earned, and he didn’t like that one bit.

We did enjoy an occasional drink or two, and a slice of pizza. I got to know him when he was still finding his feet with Redswoosh, a company he ultimately sold to Akamai. I was with Red Herring. I was literally in the proverbial room when he and Garrett Camp had a wild and wooly idea for an on-demand limo service at Le Web in Paris. The origin story is infused with just enough typical Silicon Valley mythology. Anyway, the point is I know the man and how he plays the game. As a founder, as a CEO and most importantly as orchestrator of media.

Given all this, and considering how much I can’t stand fluff in memos and media, I decided to do my typical steam wash of the Atoms vision manifesto. Separate the fluff from the fantastic. But first, a word about the pattern. Because it matters, and will help you understand the new manifesto.

At Uber, Kalanick consistently framed external forces such as regulators, competitors, the press, and board members as the problem. The company’s internal failures were always someone else’s move on the chess board. When Susan Fowler published her essay about sexual harassment and a culture that systematically protected high performers over the people they harmed, the initial response was to investigate the investigator. When Greyball, a tool Uber built to deceive regulators and evade law enforcement, became public, it was framed as a misunderstood safety feature.

That pattern held. The company, and by extension Travis, was always being persecuted by people who didn’t understand what it was trying to do. The mission was always too important for ordinary rules to apply.

The Atoms manifesto is pretty much the same playbook. The unnamed investor, though everyone knows who it is, who timed his power grab during a family tragedy becomes the defining event of his departure. Gone are the issues and problems at Uber. Instead what remains is the Horatio Alger-like story of a man who built something transformational, was betrayed at his most vulnerable, and is now back.

What Is Real

The strongest idea in the Atoms vision is the simplest one. Kalanick calls it “Digitizing the Physical World.” I know this because I have written about it. In my life as an investor this has been a recurring theme. The physical world is messy, chaotic, and stubbornly analog, but someone will undo this Gordian knot eventually.

The vision he outlines, sensors on streets, tracking trash trucks and traffic patterns in real time, routing around chaos before it happens, has been tried successfully, if not at scale, in Porto, Portugal almost a decade ago. It was built on a company True had backed, Veniam. The concept of smart city infrastructure, physical world data, the whole thing, was tried and worked at small scale. No one cracked how to scale it. That is still the problem. That is still the opportunity.

Same with mining automation, where companies big and small are doing self-driving automation of earth movers and trucks.

I still believe in this future. The time is now. The technology is knocking on the door. What you need is someone willing to break down the old way of doing things by sheer force of will and refusal to accept that the incumbent way is the only way. A blockhead, in the best sense of the word. If you can beat the cab cabal, one of the most entrenched, politically protected, locally organized industries in the world, then you can do things most people call impossible. That’s Kalanick in a nutshell. It is not nothing.

The second real argument is about specialized versus generalized robots. The industry is currently infatuated with humanoids. Kalanick pushes back, and he is right to. I mean you know how I feel about it. I talked at length with robotics pioneer Rodney Brook about this in my interview for Crazy Stupid Tech.

The humanoid is for bespoke, low-volume, human-designed spaces. The specialized machine is for industrial scale. This distinction matters, and not enough people covering robotics are making it clearly.

Third, the physical AI tech stack he lists, sensors, compute, models, manipulation, software, operations research, manufacturing, real estate, energy, and chemistry, is genuinely intimidating as a scope of work. His point that no single company has to own all of it but cross-stack competence is the advantage is an honest and useful framing.

Fourth, and this one is underappreciated, is land. Kalanick argues that real estate is a critical and overlooked input to physical world AI. Where do you mine the minerals? Where do you manufacture? Where do you store energy? The companies that control that land have an advantage most people are not pricing in yet. That is worth watching.

The last reason I buy this vision is because he has been on this digitizing physical world theme for more than a decade and a half. We talked about it. Often. In a column I wrote for Fast Company, I compared Uber to Google. When I asked Travis if he agreed that Uber is Google-like in that they’re both data-deterministic, he said “Uber’s task is much harder, because it is about taking bits and translating them into atoms and vice versa. Google, in other words, never has to worry about a search result getting stuck behind a trash truck. The real world is a lot more complicated.”

Now you know why the new company is called Atoms.

What Is Fluff

There is a lot. I hate this kind of bullshit, and if you have read me long enough, you know that I don’t suffer nonsense like “Valuable Unknown Truths.” The entropy-and-death framing around it is grandiosity, and lacks all substance. It is venture-speak dressed as philosophy. In plain English, what he is saying is that his company is going to look for insights others miss. Every damn startup says that in their pitch to every venture fund. Of course, you can now see this phrase show up in slide decks around the valley.

My head exploded when I read “Moore’s Law squared.” It is not a thing. The claim that the cost per unit of intelligence is dropping ninety percent per year is unverifiable and uncited. Without actual hard evidence, this is not an argument.

The Tesla and Amazon autonomous futures scenario, lights-out factories, self-driving freight, autonomous delivery, reads like a 2017 pitch deck. The vision is familiar. You know that might be good as vision, but the Chinese are already doing it. Now. Shein and others have invented the new commerce. Xiaomi and BYD have rolled out lights-out factories, and created scale like none before. Self-driving is no longer a vision, it is a feature. But still, it does sound great on TV.

And lastly, the Henry Adams quote about chaos and order is garnish at best. As I said before, Travis knows how to tell a great story with a lot of emphasis. I mean you don’t raise billions if you can’t tell a story with the forcefulness of a tornado.

What Is This Then?

Bloomberg does a good job here. City Storage Systems, the company Kalanick has been running quietly since being pushed out of Uber, is being renamed Atoms. It is going after three major verticals: food, mining, and transport robotics. That is the news.

The rest is a rebranding, a reintroduction, and an attempt to reenter the public conversation on his own terms. To me, this is a specific strategy, and it did not happen by accident. (Whoever the person is behind Travis’ comeback strategy, they were criminally underpaid.)

The vision page at atoms.co is engineered content. Not a press release. Not an interview where a reporter can push back. It is a controlled document, published direct, designed to establish the terms of the story before anyone else can. This is Sources Go Direct in action.

Sources going direct has collapsed the distance between a founder’s worldview and the public’s first impression of it. The press pickup that follows is not independent verification. It is amplification of a frame that was already set. This is symbolic capitalism at work, the accumulation of reputation and attention as a form of currency. Kalanick spent the day earning it back, in real time, in public.

The coverage of Atoms has largely worked exactly as designed. The vision is treated as the news. The rebranding is treated as a launch. The Horatio Alger story, knocked down, wandered, returned stronger, is irresistible to a media world that rewards narrative over nuance and speed over depth. You gotta fill airtime and make people buy your subscriptions.

Kalanick knows this. Uber was built, in part, on the ability to move faster than the institutions trying to contain it. The same instinct is visible here.

The real story is messier and more interesting. A complicated man, with real ideas, trying to rebuild reputation and company at the same time, using the same tools and instincts that made him famous the first time. It worked at Uber, until it didn’t.

Atoms is the next test of whether it works again.

I’ll be damned if I am not interested. And I’ll be damned if I don’t want to see what he does next. That doesn’t mean I need to gulp his MBA-speak as wisdom. I will call the game as I see it being played.

March 14, 2026. San Francisco.

  • βœ‡On my Om
  • What To Read This Weekend
    As I sit here on Sunday morning, reflecting on what has been one of the most hectic writing weeks in a long time, I can’t help but ask, why? Of course, there was a lot of news and action. Not that any of that matters to me, but still, there were new Apple products that were up for review. I have had iPad Air and MacBook Neo in my hands, and ended up writing about them. Neo got me philosophical and took me on a different tangent from a regular review. And there was that great story i
     

What To Read This Weekend

15 March 2026 at 16:30

As I sit here on Sunday morning, reflecting on what has been one of the most hectic writing weeks in a long time, I can’t help but ask, why?

Of course, there was a lot of news and action. Not that any of that matters to me, but still, there were new Apple products that were up for review. I have had iPad Air and MacBook Neo in my hands, and ended up writing about them. Neo got me philosophical and took me on a different tangent from a regular review.

And there was that great story in the Financial Times about Softbank and its founder playing with fire (aka OpenAI). Something about it compelled me to write about it. That and a tweet by Stripe CEO led to me writing about Symbolic Capital, and as if to make my point, former Uber CEO Travis Kalanick emerged from shadows to talk about Atoms. So, that turned into a breakdown of his manifesto.

This week, I moved my “pen newsletter” over to the “backpages” of this website. I am not much of a reviewer, and much prefer to write either short posts or longer pieces. So for me makes sense to just have it all in one place. I wrote two pieces, one about developing an ink-color palette from life itself, and a long reflection on the why of idle consumerism.

So, but the real answer to the “why” I wrote so much this week is that it is eleven years since my company shuttered. And I react to the emotion of loss in the only way I do, by writing. A lot.


Here’s what’s worth reading this weekend.

  • Mac Neo and My Afternoon of Reflection and Melancholy. Steven Sinofsky picked up a MacBook Neo and found himself staring at what might have been. The former head of Windows writes that everything they tried to do with Windows 8 and Surface RT in 2012, a $599 laptop built on a phone chip with a new app model, is exactly what Apple just shipped. “We were early, but not wrong.” [Hardcore Software]
  • The Human Condition or the Conditional Human? A genetic-testing company offers embryo selection for higher IQ. Meta’s chief AI officer says he’ll wait to have children until Neuralink is ready for implantation from a young age. Microsoft’s former head of research describes the “holy grail” as building intelligence superior to any human. David Polansky in the Hedgehog Review points out that they are all part of the same idea, one that is quietly redefining what it means to be human. Great read. [Hedgehog Review]
  • How Chinese Labs Race for the Next First-in-Class Breakthrough. In its 15th five-year plan, China laid out plans for scientific self-sufficiency by spending liberally on basic research across materials, energy, and biomedicine, halving clinical trial review times to match the US. It won’t be enough as it needs a mindset change. One biotech CEO admits China is still “more about engineering and applications, not about original concept and novelty.” [C&EN]
  • What Sports Betting Is Doing to America. You know how I feel about sports betting and how invasive it has become. But to get a first-person understanding of the disease? Read this brilliant piece in The Atlantic. They gave McKay Coppins, a practicing Mormon, $10,000 to gamble with over an NFL season. He had never placed a bet. What started as a journalistic experiment turned into something he describes as “unnerving.” This is the exact problem I’ve been writing about, except someone lived inside it for a season and came back to tell you what it looks like. [The Atlantic]
  • The Slavery Scandal at the Chinese Takeover of a Brazilian Ford Plant. The Washington Post reviewed 5,000 pages of court records and interviewed 41 people to tell the story of what happened when BYD took over a shuttered Ford factory in Camaçari, Brazil. Brazilian prosecutors accused BYD and its contractors of trafficking and conditions “analogous to slavery.” BYD’s response was to blame “cultural differences” and accuse unnamed forces of conspiring against China’s rise. This is what the global EV supply chain looks like when nobody is watching. [Washington Post]
  • In 1844, Chess Was Already Online. Every generation thinks that their technology is so special that it will change the world, and humans. I was reminded of that when I read this story. Six months after Morse sent “What hath God wrought” over the first US telegraph line, someone used it to play chess. Washington challenged Baltimore, moves were transmitted as numbered squares, and seven games were played without a single transmission error. A good reminder. Every new communication technology gets used for play before it gets used for business. The telegraph, the telephone, the internet, and now AI. Human nature doesn’t change. The wires do. [IEEE Spectrum]
  • Goodbye, Tesla-Style Giant Touchscreens. The buttons are back, thanks in part to China mandating physical controls for essential car functions. Europe will now mark down cars that rely only on touchscreens for things like turn signals. So, VW and Mercedes have already reversed course. And the Jony Ive-designed Ferrari Luce interior is full of knobs and switches. Turns out, sleek and futuristic is not the same as safe and usable. I don’t drive, so I don’t know. But I wonder if all this even matters when invisible robots are driving the cars? [Domus]

Things I wrote this week, ICYMI:

March 15, 2026. San Francisco

  • βœ‡On my Om
  • Lobster Boil
    I had coffee this weekend with my good friend Michael Galpert, father to my godchildren. Too much coffee. We talked too much Claw. OpenClaw that is. Michael has been running around the country organizing ClawCons. New York, Austin, Tokyo next. Not industry conferences. In the halcyon days of Web 2.0, we called them meetups and un-conferences. Sponsors are falling over themselves to get them attached to this new new thing, that borders on madness and hope. Just people showing up in rooms b
     

Lobster Boil

17 March 2026 at 02:03

I had coffee this weekend with my good friend Michael Galpert, father to my godchildren. Too much coffee. We talked too much Claw. OpenClaw that is.

Michael has been running around the country organizing ClawCons. New York, Austin, Tokyo next. Not industry conferences. In the halcyon days of Web 2.0, we called them meetups and un-conferences. Sponsors are falling over themselves to get them attached to this new new thing, that borders on madness and hope.

Just people showing up in rooms because they want to talk about what OpenClaw makes possible. Developers, yes. But also small business owners, retirees, students, people who have never attended a tech event in their lives. The energy in those rooms, Michael says, is unlike anything he has seen in years.

I have known Michael long enough to know when he is genuinely excited about something versus just being hyperactive for a second. He is so ‘clawed’ into OpenClaw.

Makes you wonder: what is really going on here? Hope and madness. Whatever the reasons, I am fascinated with the very idea of OpenClaw, how it might be foretelling a future we are not seeing yet.


OpenClaw is a free, open-source AI agent built by Austrian developer Peter Steinberger. It started as a weekend project in November 2025, originally called Clawdbot, went through a rename to Moltbot after a trademark complaint from Anthropic, and landed as OpenClaw at the end of January 2026.

You connect it to whatever AI model you prefer. It runs on your own machine. You talk to it through the messaging apps you already use, including Slack, WhatsApp, Telegram, iMessage, and Discord. And then it does things. Typical chatbots answer questions. It acts. It clears your inbox, makes reservations, tracks your calendar, executes tasks on your behalf while you are doing something else.

By March 2026, it had crossed 247,000 stars on GitHub. Steinberger has since been hired by OpenAI to work on personal agents, and the project has moved to a foundation. The lobster, as they say, has molted. Ironic, the movement’s Jesus has ceded control to his apostles.

Across the planet, everyone is tinkering.

China tech is going bonkers over OpenClaw. On a Friday afternoon in Shenzhen, nearly a thousand people lined up outside Tencent headquarters to get OpenClaw installed on their laptops. Engineers from Tencent’s cloud unit were helping students, retirees, and office workers set it up. The Chinese have their own phrase for it now: raise a lobster, a reference to OpenClaw’s red lobster logo.

Every major Chinese cloud provider has released its own version. Tencent has WorkBuddy. MiniMax has MaxClaw. Moonshot has Kimi Claw. Local governments in Shenzhen and Wuxi announced grants for startups building on the platform. MiniMax, whose model runs inside many OpenClaw setups, has seen its stock rise over 600 percent since its IPO two months ago.

And then Beijing sent a diktat to state banks, government agencies, and the families of military personnel: Clip the Claw.

A thousand people lining up on Friday. A memo from the CCP. Same technology. Same week.

It’s not nothing.

The Mac Mini has become the unofficial hardware of the OpenClaw moment. People are buying the Apple desktop with a single purpose: a dedicated machine to run their agent, separate from their main computer, connected to a free or cheap open-source model. The SF Standard called the Mac Mini bro the new matcha latte guy. Oy vey!

The publication shares the story of Aaron Ng, a 35-year-old AI engineer in the Sunset. He did not want to give OpenClaw access to his own computer. So he bought a Mac Mini just for the agent. It handles his email, tracks updates about his newborn, controls his smart lights. He texts it baby logs because, in his words, the existing apps were terrible. Others are using it to post their bets on Polymarket to Twitter and game the results.

Mac Mini bro! Apple has backed into a cultural moment, without even trying. Jokes aside, this physical object represents a philosophy. The intelligence lives on your machine. You own it. You aim it. No subscription. No permission required.

I checked in with Hiten Shah, one of my close friends who is building hard with OpenClaw. He summed it up in a single line: (AI) Power to the people.

This is why retirees are lining up in Shenzhen. This is why people with no GitHub account are showing up at ClawCons. For the first time, they can feel AI’s intelligence, even if it is not very good. Yet. Not a demo. Not a keynote promise. Not big boys burning billion dollars a month. A thing that actually does things on their behalf. The gap between what you want done and what gets done has always required either your own time or someone else’s labor. OpenClaw makes that gap feel smaller. That feeling, even in its rough and half-broken form, is new.

It has been almost a month since I published How AI Goes To Work. “What OpenClaw shows is how AI will work in the background,” is what I wrote. “And that is what the ‘AI’ future looks like for normal people. Not a separate AI app. Intelligence woven into tools you already use. Doing work you used to do yourself. Or used to hire someone to do, done by software.”

I have seen this kind of excitement before. Many times. That is what keeps me around in Silicon Valley. The excitement of new technology is my addiction. I saw this with the big poppa, the internet itself. Web 2.0. Social. Cloud. In terms of product, the closest parallel to OpenClaw for me is my first time with WordPress.

WordPress did not invent PHP or MySQL or web publishing. It was a continuation of someone else’s idea. However, it assembled those pieces into something a non-technical person like me could actually use. The gap between having something to say and being able to publish it closed overnight. No developer. No hosting deal. No media company gatekeeping who got a voice. Yes, there were other platforms and other options, but it dovetailed with the rise of open source, the optimism of publishing on the internet, and the joy of sharing and being social.

The best part that most people forget about WordPress is that it was never really about us. It was about the rest of the world that could not afford American software economics. At Forbes.com, we spent millions on bad software, trying to publish professionally. Now you could do it for free. A teacher in Jakarta. A student in Manila. A journalist in Nairobi. Suddenly they had the same publishing infrastructure as the New York Times. That is what the excitement was really about. Not the product. It was the collapse of the permission structure.

OpenClaw has that same siren call. Two hundred dollars a month, or even twenty a month, to Anthropic or OpenAI is not a rounding error for most of the world. The world doesn’t pay $10 for lattes. This is the real barrier. But Chinese-made Qwen runs locally. Chinese-made DeepSeek runs locally. OpenClaw does not care which model you plug in. So someone in Manila or Cairo or Bogota can run the same agentic setup as a San Francisco startup, on a model that costs them nothing. If you want something from Claude or ChatGPT, and you can afford to pay for it, then plug that in too.

WordPress democratized voice. OpenClaw is pointing at something further: action. The gap between what you intend and what actually gets done has always required resources. A team. A budget. An organization. OpenClaw is the first very rough sketch of closing that gap for everyone.

WordPress operated in a forgiving domain. A bad plugin broke your homepage. Mine broke all the time. And there were no plugins. OpenClaw operates in the domain of real-world action. A bad agent deletes your inbox, spams your contacts, creates a dating profile without your knowledge. The blast radius is different. One of OpenClaw’s own maintainers warned publicly that if you cannot understand how to run a command line, this is far too dangerous for you to use safely. That is not a ringing endorsement. But it is also not the point.

OpenClaw is not ready for prime time. The security issues are real and the warts are visible. It is a symbol of what is coming, not the thing itself.

AI can be personal. Not a service you subscribe to. Not a platform you visit. A thing that runs on your machine, serves your intentions, uses the model you choose, and works through the apps you already live in.

In his keynote speech at GTC, Nvidia CEO and founder Jensen Huang described OpenClaw as:

What is Open Claw? It’s an agentic system. It calls and connects to large language models.It has resources that it manages. It could access tools, it could access file systems, it could access large language models. It’s able to do scheduling. it’s able to– do cron jobs, is able to decompose a problem that you gave it into step by step by step. It could spawn off and call upon other subagents. It has IO. You could talk to it in any modality you want. It’s an operating system. I’ve just used the same syntax that I would describe an operating system. Open Claw has open sourced essentially the operating system of agentic computers.


In 2023, Bill Gates wrote that “in the near future, anyone who’s online will be able to have a personal assistant powered by artificial intelligence” and that agents would “utterly change how we live.” OpenClaw, running on a free Chinese model through WhatsApp on a $599 Mac Mini in the Sunset, is the first time regular people can actually feel that becoming real.

That’s what I am Clawing about.

March 16, 2025. San Francisco

  • βœ‡On my Om
  • OpenAI Has New Focus (on the IPO)
    The Wall Street Journal recently reported that leadership wants OpenAI, the company, to focus. Seems like a plain old business strategy story. Nope! First, in more prosaic terms, the all-hands and what was said was indicative of need for focus and urgency. I read it as mild panic stations. Second, step back enough and a clear and complete image should emerge. It reveals the real game being played. It is the grand hand at the big AI poker table. The IPO. Who gets there first, who sets the rul
     

OpenAI Has New Focus (on the IPO)

17 March 2026 at 22:05

The Wall Street Journal recently reported that leadership wants OpenAI, the company, to focus. Seems like a plain old business strategy story. Nope!

First, in more prosaic terms, the all-hands and what was said was indicative of need for focus and urgency. I read it as mild panic stations. Second, step back enough and a clear and complete image should emerge. It reveals the real game being played. It is the grand hand at the big AI poker table. The IPO. Who gets there first, who sets the rules. And who really wins.

The IPO is not about one company. Instead it is about three American AI companies — Anthropic, OpenAI, and SpaceX, which owns xAI. It is about the scale of money to be raised from the market. It is also the urgency to do so. The Economist notes that if all three offer 15 percent of their shares, the combined sum would roughly equal every dollar raised across all American IPOs over the past decade.

It is against the backdrop of a global crisis, and this being a battle for winner take all. And most importantly, with the Middle East busy with bigger problems, the money spigot for American AI might be as tight as the Strait of Hormuz right now. The Gulf sovereign wealth funds that have been backstopping this AI frenzy have other fish to fry, at present.

Public market investors in New York and London will now have to carry the weight. Which means the IPO window is real, it is short, it is now, and it will not stay open forever. In short, this is a three horse race to the IPO market. And OpenAI isn’t the leading pony.


OpenAI was all over the map. Sora. A web browser called Atlas. A hardware device. TikTok-for-AI. All announced with the same breathless urgency, same press release energy, different product each time. Cashing in on the announcement economy.

Simo told staff last week they had to stop being distracted by “side quests.” That is a remarkable word for what was, in practice, an $840 billion company running several unrelated experiments inside itself while its most focused rival ate its lunch.

All startups, big and small, are messy. Some have more disorder than others. The admission of chaos is a way to show recognition, and eventual correction of the problems. The question to me, is why this admission of chaos? And that’s why you need to bring out the popcorn.

Let’s break down the WSJ news report itself. The fact that the Journal “reviewed” the transcript is a giveaway. The Journal didn’t say they had the transcript, or that it was leaked to them. “Reviewed by” is a tell. This is a controlled leak. Nothing wrong with it.

Companies do it often. Big publications like the Wall Street Journal get the scoops and exclusives. This is a game that has been played for the longest time. Every word attributed to Simo, from “side quests,” to “code red,” to the Anthropic “wake-up call,” was chosen for outside consumption, to shape the story.

Don’t get me wrong. While the actual new content of the story is thin, it is still real. The organizational dysfunction is real. The Sora team was housed under research while launching a consumer product — a good sign of that dysfunction. However, the Anthropic “wake-up call” framing is a classic Jedi mind trick. Admit competitive weakness to look clear-eyed to investors and customers, while simultaneously using a rival’s success as the proverbial carrot and the stick.

However, one has to read the story in a larger context. The WSJ report has to be read against other news this week. Reuters reports OpenAI is in advanced talks with TPG, Advent International, Bain Capital, and Brookfield to create a new joint venture valued at around $10 billion that would push its enterprise products through PE-backed portfolio companies across industries. It is forming “Frontier Alliances” with McKinsey, BCG, Accenture, and Capgemini, announced last month. This is a great narrative being put together for a company on a deadline, for a specific audience. OpenAI is great at building narratives. It might back its way into a long-term strategy, but for now, you have to see every piece of news coming out of OpenAI right now as part of a jigsaw puzzle.

There is one audience for this final picture. The bankers and institutional investors who will price the offering. OpenAI needs them to believe three simple things. It has its house in order. It has a real swing at corporate dollars. And that it is ahead in the AI race, both for consumers and corporations.

One thing odd, maybe just to me, is why OpenAI has been stuffing its ranks with former Facebookers who are known to juice growth, find edges, and keep people addicted. They have little background in getting enterprises to buy into a product. Simo herself ran the Facebook app. That organization’s genius is consumer engagement: behavioral hooks, dopamine loops, the relentless optimization of the feed. You can see that in the recent iterations of ChatGPT. It has become such a sycophant, and creates answers and options, that you end up engaging with it. That’s juicing growth. Facebook style.

The next shoe to drop would be news that OpenAI poached some big name executives from say, Salesforce or one of the big boy SaaS companies to take charge of the enterprise push. Right now, OpenAI’s own numbers show that its enterprise business generates $10 billion out of a total annualized revenue of $25 billion. In comparison, Anthropic, the smaller company, is widely regarded as ahead in enterprise adoption.


Why is all this important? Again, as I said, money. I know I am repeating myself. The public market money. That is the only real story. There are three AI companies heading toward public markets. Two have friends in Washington. One has a great satellite launch and Internet business. One has focus. One is perceived as an “all over the map” business.

Zoomed in, there is a reason why Grok and OpenAI are looking to go after the “code” business. Anthropic’s success is good enough proof that AI, despite all the talk of impending singularity and AGI, is all about software — the critical choke point in a digital-first world. That is the business. For now! Not orbital data centers. Not a social video app. Not a hardware device. All these may (or may not) be real money spinners in the future, but for now, you gotta focus on juicing your revenues to go public. Focus is the answer.

Anthropic’s revenue run rate has surged past $19 billion, up from $9 billion at the end of 2025 and roughly $14 billion just weeks before that. Amodei confirmed at Morgan Stanley that $6 billion was added in February alone, driven almost entirely by Claude Code. Revenue doubling in two months. That is the curve that makes a prospectus compelling without a PR campaign to explain it.

The US government has tried to change that calculus. Defense Secretary Hegseth declared Anthropic a supply-chain risk after it refused to give the Pentagon unrestricted access to its models. Altman positioned OpenAI as a bridge-builder while quietly moving to take Anthropic’s vacated government contracts.

Anthropic has no friends in Washington. What it has, in the immortal words of former Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer, is “Developers, Developers, Developers.” Right now, developers are the ones who actually matter. Despite its somewhat unclear messaging and occasionally awkward public identity, Anthropic’s Claude Code is a product they want to use. Wallet always speaks the loudest.

I won’t be crying over OpenAI. They are doing $25 billion in annualized revenue, with 900 million weekly users, and a CEO who has proven he can bend a narrative to his will.

As I said before. When a grand hand is being played, focus is not such a bad thing. Especially when the billions you desperately need are on the line.

March 17, 2026. San Francisco.

  • βœ‡512 Pixels
  • Tennessee Teenagers Suing xAI After Grok Used Their Images to Make CSAM
    Faiz Siddiqui, writing at what’s left of The Washington Post (Apple News) about the continuing fallout of xAI’s CSAM scandal: “When a mother from eastern Tennessee asked local police how someone had created naked photos of her teenage daughter, she recalls being told it was a company she’d never heard of: xAI, the artificial intelligence start-up run by Tesla CEO Elon Musk. Police alleged a person arrested in December had used Grok, xAI’s chatbot, to edit phot
     

Tennessee Teenagers Suing xAI After Grok Used Their Images to Make CSAM

18 March 2026 at 14:19

Faiz Siddiqui, writing at what’s left of The Washington Post (Apple News) about the continuing fallout of xAI’s CSAM scandal:

“When a mother from eastern Tennessee asked local police how someone had created naked photos of her teenage daughter, she recalls being told it was a company she’d never heard of: xAI, the artificial intelligence start-up run by Tesla CEO Elon Musk.

Police alleged a person arrested in December had used Grok, xAI’s chatbot, to edit photos, including one from the teen girl’s Instagram account, removing a blue bikini from one image to “depict her without any clothes,” according to a lawsuit filed Monday.

Katie Herchenroeder, for Mother Jones:

One of the plaintiffs said she received a link to a Discord server “which contained images and videos of at least 18 other minor females, many of whom Jane Doe 1 recognized from her school,” the lawsuit alleges.

Some of the images stemmed from her homecoming or yearbook photos.

  • βœ‡On my Om
  • Why Fraud Is The Boring Problem
    Michael Smith used AI to create music, and then used AI to create bots to get the “plays” and took the smartest technology companies, including Spotify and Amazon, who should know better, for about $8 million. He is going to jail for his crimes. It is easy to dismiss this as one-and-done fraud. It is anything but. It is an early warning of how AI will disrupt the systems that power our digital society: how culture gets discovered, how commerce gets directed, and how conversations ge
     

Why Fraud Is The Boring Problem

21 March 2026 at 19:58

Michael Smith used AI to create music, and then used AI to create bots to get the “plays” and took the smartest technology companies, including Spotify and Amazon, who should know better, for about $8 million. He is going to jail for his crimes. It is easy to dismiss this as one-and-done fraud. It is anything but. It is an early warning of how AI will disrupt the systems that power our digital society: how culture gets discovered, how commerce gets directed, and how conversations get shaped.

At present, most of our digital society is powered by tech that is, generically speaking, recommendation algorithms. Spotify’s Discover Weekly, YouTube’s suggestion engine, TikTok’s For You page, Amazon’s product feed, Facebook’s news feed. All of it runs on signals of human behavior. Stream counts, completion rates, saves, shares, playlist adds, clicks, purchases. These represent people making choices. The only way to fake that was to hire a back-office army to do it. This is cultural legitimacy laundering.

Scale can now be had for cheap. Almost free. Who is to say that with AI, there won’t be bots that learn and adapt (agents, in polite company) designed to game the system? What if real artists with real music have this army to goose up their stream counts. The algorithm then promotes them to real ears.

What if it is not just real artists, but AI music being created by music-making software models that get better every month. The algorithm promotes this too. Humans like it, save it, share it, and add it to their playlists. They are generating real signals on top of the fake ones. At what point does fraudulently-obtained popularity become real popularity? There’s no clean line.

Just like Uber was limos for everyone, this is payola for anyone, for $200 a month. Even cheaper, if open-source models have their way. You think musicians won’t do it? Look around. They are already buying bots to inflate their numbers using gray-market services. Smith might be the idiot going to jail, but we are facing a structural collapse of the discovery and taste-making apparatus.

In the case of music, since royalties are countable, you can make a case for fraud. In other arenas, things are not going to be as simple. What gets bought on Amazon, what trends on Facebook, what becomes culturally popular. All of it runs on the same logic as Spotify. Signals of human behavior, gamed by machines. AI is making authenticity optional.

Whether it is Spotify directing culture, Amazon directing commerce, or Facebook directing conversations, I have yet to hear from any of their leadership on how they plan to redesign what they do because of the coming onslaught of fake signals.

Smith used crude tools to steal $8 million. His fraud is the boring version of the problem. The interesting version hasn’t been prosecuted yet. It may never be.


Further Reading

  • βœ‡On my Om
  • What To Read This Weekend
    It has been a week of inference. I started the week writing about OpenClaw and its growing popularity. And I end the week with a recap of Nvidia’s GTC event. A lot has been written about the event, especially about Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang’s big claims of quadrupling his revenues to above a trillion dollars, the question that wasn’t asked, why? Sure, we can dismiss this as a bluster of a bull-market darling, but in reality, if we believe that AI is going to be the new way of
     

What To Read This Weekend

22 March 2026 at 15:30

It has been a week of inference. I started the week writing about OpenClaw and its growing popularity. And I end the week with a recap of Nvidia’s GTC event. A lot has been written about the event, especially about Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang’s big claims of quadrupling his revenues to above a trillion dollars, the question that wasn’t asked, why?

Sure, we can dismiss this as a bluster of a bull-market darling, but in reality, if we believe that AI is going to be the new way of interacting with information (as I do) and will impact all sorts of industries, then you have to give his claim some thought.

As I explain in my breakdown of Nvidia GTC, Jensen’s Trillion Dollar Token Factory, for CrazyStupidTech, his boast makes sense for two reasons. First, this is indeed an inference inflection. What that means is that AI goes from being in the “capex” phase to being in the “opex” phase. That key distinction is why you see Anthropic adding a billion or so in revenue every week or so. And that is why OpenAI is in a tizzy. And that is why Elon Musk has made “coding” a top priority for his Grok.

I am hoping to shift gears next week and write longer essays, eschewing news and daily goings-on. I have a few personal pieces that remain unfinished, including reviews of a new photography geegaw and of course the MacBook Neo.

Till next week. For now, enjoy these lovely articles.


  • Why Tech Bros Are Now Obsessed with Taste. Kyle Chayka in the New Yorker on Silicon Valley’s latest borrowed virtue. Silicon Valley is a taste dead zone. I have written about this many times. Now the same people without taste are arguing that because AI levels the playing field, and anyone can build anything, so the only edge left is knowing what’s worth building. That’s “taste.” Don’t look for it in these parts. Chayka makes my point without me losing my hair. [New Yorker]
  • We Have Learned Nothing. Jerry Neumann is my favorite venture capital and startup writer. None better. In his latest piece he makes a point to remind us that the whole edifice of the science of entrepreneurship is just that, an edifice. So, to paraphrase Steve Jobs, think different. And do different from whatever the current advice says. [Colossus]
  • In Search of Banksy. Reuters spent a year using what they call a “reverse forensic” approach to unmask the world’s most famous anonymous artist. Wow. What a great story. I mean, make this a documentary. The journalism is meticulous. [Reuters]
  • Russia’s Self-Inflicted Communication Crisis. Politico maps the race to cut Russia off from the global internet. Telegram, WhatsApp, YouTube, Signal, Discord, X, FaceTime, LinkedIn, all blocked or throttled. Russian President Putin signed a law letting the FSB shut down cellular and internet access on demand. The twist is that the Kremlin’s own military depends on Telegram for frontline communications and crowdfunding. They’re destroying the infrastructure their war machine runs on. What an amazing story. [Politico]
  • The Repricing of Time: Equity in the Age of Agents. Jordi Visser makes the financial argument for what many of us feel intuitively. AI doesn’t just disrupt business models. It compresses time. When competitive half-lives shrink from a decade to months, equity stops representing ownership of a durable franchise and starts resembling a call option on execution velocity. This is the best thing I’ve read on what AI actually does to market structure. I wish I had written this piece. [Visser Labs]

Things I wrote this week, ICYMI:


In Memoriam.

Miles Rose, who passed away on March 1, 2026, in Puerto Rico. He was 72. And he was a friend from the Internet’s halcyon days and ran SiliconAlley.com. I lost touch with him over the past decade or so, but he was and will remain a cherished friend and a reminder of happier, more innocent times in the evolution of the internet. Rest in peace, Miles.

Len Deighton, one of my favorite authors and a master of the spy genre, passed away. I enjoyed this recap of his work. In the end, this is the best way to remember someone who made words his everything.


March 22, 2026. San Francisco

  • βœ‡Matt Mullenweg
  • Miriam’s Sweet Site
    Long-time WordPresser Miriam Schwab just rebuilt her WordPress site with Claude Code and it looks amazing. Go check it out, this is what is possible now with proper prompting. I’d love to see a WordCamp keynote from Miriam on her process in this. (And she’s doing this while missiles are flying overhead. Wow.) Update: She blogged a bit about the process.
     

Miriam’s Sweet Site

By: Matt
22 March 2026 at 21:41

Long-time WordPresser Miriam Schwab just rebuilt her WordPress site with Claude Code and it looks amazing. Go check it out, this is what is possible now with proper prompting. I’d love to see a WordCamp keynote from Miriam on her process in this. (And she’s doing this while missiles are flying overhead. Wow.)

Update: She blogged a bit about the process.

  • βœ‡Matt Mullenweg
  • WP.com MCP
    If you host your WordPress on WordPress.com your AI agent can now manage your entire site, including updating posts or pages, making drafts, pretty much all the things you normally do with WordPress. Hook this up to your OpenClaw, Hermes, ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, whatever and have fun!
     
  • βœ‡On my Om
  • More Magic Math from OpenAI?
    When it comes to OpenAI, smart money is starting to do the math out loud. And something doesn’t add up. On surface, today’s news that OpenAI is offering 17.5% guaranteed returns to private equity firms looks like a shot at the Anthropic threat. Scratch the surface, and you start to see the story behind the story. The PE deal is the kind of deal you do when you’ve borrowed against the future and the future is taking longer than expected. Remember a few weeks ago when Nvid
     

More Magic Math from OpenAI?

23 March 2026 at 23:50

When it comes to OpenAI, smart money is starting to do the math out loud. And something doesn’t add up. On surface, today’s news that OpenAI is offering 17.5% guaranteed returns to private equity firms looks like a shot at the Anthropic threat. Scratch the surface, and you start to see the story behind the story.

The PE deal is the kind of deal you do when you’ve borrowed against the future and the future is taking longer than expected.

Remember a few weeks ago when Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang (one of the backers of OpenAI) said that OpenAI was not a well-run business. Now Thoma Bravo founder Orlando Bravo is saying it out loud. Bravo walked away from the JV idea after questioning the long-term profit profile. It is not a coincidence that two smart money operators are arriving at the same conclusion. Just different words.

As I wrote in yesterday’s newsletter, (and in my breakdown of Nvidia GTC, Jensen’s Trillion Dollar Token Factory, for CrazyStupidTech) we are at an inference inflection. What that means is that AI goes from being in the “capex” phase to being in the “opex” phase. That shift is why you see Anthropic adding a billion or so in revenue every week or so. And that is why OpenAI is in a tizzy. And that is why Elon Musk has made “coding” a top priority for his Grok. All three companies are about “business” and revenues and not just promises.

OpenAI is good at promises. Especially the promises of a limitless future. And it has done a good job of borrowing against that future. Except, that future isn’t arriving or arriving fast enough.

It announced the $110 billion funding round, while only about $25 billion was near-term committed capital. Stargate was a $500 billion infrastructure promise. Oops. Each of these moments followed the same logic. Project confidence so large that the world treats it as reality. The reported PE deal is just the latest version of the same story.

The question to ask is why is OpenAI willing to guarantee 17.5 percent return? What gives. My harsh read of the situation is that the company needs money, and private equity is the last large pool of capital it can tap. And that tells you something about how many other doors OpenAI has already knocked on.

Here I go again with more questions than answers.

When I look at the news about the joint ventures, I read it as OpenAI cannot afford the cost of selling to big companies on its own. Deploying engineers to customize models for clients is expensive, slow, and margin-destroying. The joint venture shifts that cost onto PE firms while they think they’re buying access. They’re not. They’re picking up the actual cost of the work, dressed up as a partnership. It is a smart move, especially when you are preparing for a public offering.

Here is the line buried in the Reuters report that you should read again and again. The joint venture structure would provide “clearer segment reporting that can support the IPO narrative.”

Loosely translated (and financial analysts would be better to break this down), the JV structure allows OpenAI to create a line item that makes it look like it has recurring enterprise revenue, which is exactly what IPO bankers need to justify a valuation of a trillion dollars. The real product here is not AI. It is an IPO prospectus.

Maybe I am completely off base. There is almost certainly something we don’t know. There might be a product breakthrough that changes everything. OpenAI has surprised before.

However, it is hard to ignore that both Jensen and Bravo raised issues around OpenAI as a business. After all, no healthy business needs to offer terms that OpenAI is offering. You know why this is happening. It is because the need for cash is real. And the need to go public and get that cash is even more real. That 17.5 percent guarantee is just a magic number in magic math.


Previously on this topic:

  • βœ‡512 Pixels
  • AgentBridge
    If you want your classic Mac to interact with Claude, Sean Lavigne has the project for you: AgentBridge is a native Classic Mac OS application that lets AI agents (like Claude) interact with Mac OS 7–9 through structured commands and responses. It works on real hardware and emulators — no modifications to your Mac required. Drop AgentBridge into a shared folder, launch it on your Mac, and an AI agent can list windows, open apps, type text, read the clipboard, browse files, and
     

AgentBridge

24 March 2026 at 15:29

If you want your classic Mac to interact with Claude, Sean Lavigne has the project for you:

AgentBridge is a native Classic Mac OS application that lets AI agents (like Claude) interact with Mac OS 7–9 through structured commands and responses. It works on real hardware and emulators — no modifications to your Mac required.

Drop AgentBridge into a shared folder, launch it on your Mac, and an AI agent can list windows, open apps, type text, read the clipboard, browse files, and more — all through a simple text-based protocol.

This image in the Github documentation cracked me up:

Claude on Mac SE

  • βœ‡Matt Mullenweg
  • Beautiful Hack
    It’s bad, but it’s so good. As you read this deep dive into the LiteLLM backdoor hack, or this one, it’s really just quite impressive. The use of ICP canisters, wow. Just as an engineer, I’d love to meet the minds behind this code.
     
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